matthew mcconaughey oscars

The 2014 Oscar Predictions: Who Will Win & Who’ll Get Snubbed?

matthew mcconaughey oscars

We’ve already brought you the 2014 Oscar nominations, but now we’re one of the first websites out there to bring you the 2014 Oscar Predictions!  Most websites wait a while, feel things out and see what everyone else is saying.  Well here at Movie Melt, we’re confident enough to be one of the first sites to make their actual predictions.  Myself, and my two fellow Movie Melters, Wayner and Jared have weighed in with our thoughts on who will win, who should win, and why.  Who will get what they deserve and who will get snubbed?  Read on to find out what we think of the big categories.

Best picture

“12 Years a Slave”
“The Wolf of Wall Street”
“Captain Phillips”
“Her”
“American Hustle”
“Gravity”
“Dallas Buyers Club”
“Nebraska”
“Philomena”

Jimmy:

What Will win: 12 Years a Slave

What Should win: Dallas Buyers Club/12 Years a Slave

Comments: 12 Years is unbelievably deserving but I just think Dallas Buyers Club might be the better film.  It was unreal.  Gravity could be a dark horse.

Jared:

What Will Win: 12 Years a Slave

What Should Win: 12 Years a Slave

Comments: The only film in recent memory that’s dealt with such a sensitive subject in so well a manner is Schindler’s List. 12 Years is cinematically superb, and it’s more than deserving of a Best Picture award.

Wayner:

What Will Win: 12 years a slave

Comments: 12 years should win. Only other possibility is Gravity. Period.

Best director

Steve McQueen — “12 Years a Slave”
David O. Russell — “American Hustle”
Alfonso Cuaron — “Gravity”
Alexander Payne — “Nebraska”
Martin Scorsese — “The Wolf of Wall Street”

Jimmy:

Who Will win: Alfonso Cuaron

Who Should win: Alfonso Cuaron

Comments: The Academy does tend to give Best Director to the person who directed the Best Picture, but Ang Lee winning for ‘Life of Pi’ last year broke the mold and I think this year the unique experience Cuaron created will be rewarded, as it should be.

Jared:

Who Will Win: Steve McQueen

Who Should Win: Alfonso Cuaron

Comments: The Academy is notorious for pairing Best Picture and Best Director, regardless of directing achievements. The directing in Gravity is clearly superior to 12 Years, but I expect the Academy to go back to tradition this year, after last year’s Affleck mishap.

Wayner:

Who Will Win: Cuaron

Comments: No contest. Cuaron runs away with this. He basically made me believe I’m a NASA astronaut.

Best actor

Bruce Dern — “Nebraska”
Chiwetel Ejiofor — “12 Years a Slave”
Matthew McConaughey — “Dallas Buyers Club”
Leonardo DiCaprio — “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Christian Bale — “American Hustle”

Jimmy:

Who Will Win: Matthew McConaughey

Who Should Win: Matthew McConaughey

Comments: While the category is stacked, this is a freaking no brainer and if the Academy gets it wrong, the world might collapse in on itself.  Matthew could win for two movies this year (Mud).

Jared:

Who Will Win: Matthew McConaughey

Who Should Win: Matthew McConaughey

Comments: Sorry Leo, not this year. I think Leo might have had a chance in a weaker year, but McConaughey’s performance was too much of a tour-de-force to compete with.

Wayner:

Who Will Win: Matty

Comments:  Matty finally gets the recognition he deserves. “Just Keep Livin”

Best actress

Amy Adams — “American Hustle”
Cate Blanchett — “Blue Jasmine”
Judi Dench — “Philomena”
Sandra Bullock — “Gravity”
Meryl Streep — “August: Osage County”

Jimmy:

Who Will Win: Amy Adams

Who Should Win: Amy Adams but not by much over Cate Blanchett

Comments: I wasn’t sold on Christian Bale’s nomination for ‘American Hustle’  but Amy was fantastic and straight killed her role.

Jared:

Who Will Win: Amy Adams

Who Should Win: Amy Adams

Comments: It’s time. Amy’s been nominated five times, each role being better than the last. I really thought she was one of the brightest performances in American Hustle, and this was doubtlessly a career role for her.

Wayner:

Who Will Win: Amy Adams

Comments: Amy wins this over Cate B only because the academy loves David O Russell too much.

Best supporting actor

Barkhad Abdi — “Captain Phillips”
Bradley Cooper — “American Hustle”
Jonah Hill — “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Jared Leto — “Dallas Buyers Club”
Michael Fassbender — “12 Years a Slave”

Jimmy:

Who Will Win: Michael Fassbender

Who Should Win: Michael Fassbender/Jared Leto

Comments: This category is insanely good, and I really think Leto deserves it, but so does Fassbender.  The dude was insane as the manic, complex slave owner in ’12 Years…’  I just think that the film is going to take home awards and this is one they can give it.

Jared:

Who Will Win: Bradley Cooper

Who Should Win: Jared Leto

Comments: The Academy views a nomination as much of an achievement as an actual win. This is Leto’s first nomination, and while his performance was outstanding (and deserving of a win), he hasn’t quite “paid his dues” enough to bring home the hardware.

Wayner:

Who Will Win: Jared Leto

Comments: This category is loaded. I’m fine with anyone winning, but I’m pulling for Jared.

Best supporting actress

Jennifer Lawrence — “American Hustle”
Lupita Nyong’o — “12 Years a Slave”
June Squibb — “Nebraska”
Julia Roberts — “August: Osage County”
Sally Hawkins — “Blue Jasmine”

Jimmy:

Who Will Win: Lupita Nyong’o

Who Should Win: Lupita Nyong’o

Comments: The girl was powerful in this breakout role, and genuinely broke my heart.  Not that impressed with the category, but she deserves it regardless.

Jared:

Who Will Win: Sally Hawkins

Who Should Win: Lupita Nyong’o

Comments: Same as Supporting Actor. The Acadmey will recognize Lupita with a nomination, but they’ll give the award to Sally. Sally Hawkins should have been nominated (and maybe won) for Happy Go Lucky a few years back, but she was left in the cold. I expect the Academy will atone for their previous sins in this category.

Wayner:

Who Will Win: Lupita N’yongo

Comments: Jennifer Lawrence won an Oscar last year. Next in line – Lupita N’yongo

Best cinematography

“Gravity” — Emmanuel Lubezki
“Inside Llewyn Davis” — Bruno Delbonnel
“Nebraska” — Phedon Papamichael
“Prisoners” — Roger Deakins
“The Grandmaster” — Phillippe Le Sourd

Jimmy:

What Will Win: Gravity

What Should Win: Gravity

Comments: No brainer right?  Who knows….

Jared:

What Will Win: Gravity

What Should Win: Gravity

Comments: Duh. I’ll be shocked if Gravity doesn’t take home every technical category it’s in contention for. It’s really the greatest achievement since Avatar.

Wayner:

What Will Win: Nebraska

Comments: The academy digs black and white

Best original screenplay

“American Hustle” — David O. Russell and Eric Warren Singer
“Blue Jasmine” — Woody Allen
“Her” — Spike Jonze
“Nebraska” — Bob Nelson
“Dallas Buyers Club” — Craig Borten and Melisa Wallack

Jimmy:

What Will Win: American Hustle

What Should Win: Her

Comments: American Hustle will win, but that films strength for me was in its acting, and dialogue but not necessarily its plot.  ‘Her’ is original and bold.

Jared:

What Will Win: American Hustle

What Should Win: Her

Comments:  The postmodern techy tone of ‘Her’ will more than likely be lost on an aged Academy voting bloc. I expect them to award the tight dialogue and 70’s brilliance that is American Hustle. It’s not as good as ‘Her’, but it’s right up the Academy’s alley.

Wayner:

What Will Win: Her

Comments: Its possible American Hustle could win, but it shouldn’t

Best adapted screenplay

“12 Years a Slave” — John Ridley
“Before Midnight” — Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke and Richard Linklater
“The Wolf of Wall Street” — Terence Winter
“Captain Phillips” — Billy Ray
“Philomena” — Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope

Jimmy:

What Will Win: 12 Years a Slave

What Should Win: Before Midnight

Comments: 12 Years a Slave is very deserving, and will almost certainly take home the crown.  But the finale part of Richard Linklater’s ‘Before’ trilogy was a near perfect movie, and I am certainly biased towards one of my favorite movie series ever, but for me it deserves the crown.

Jared:

What Will Win: 12 Years a Slave

What Should Win: 12 Years a Slave

Comments: I mean, it’s based on an autobiography that was written a century and a half ago. That’s an accomplishment in and of itself.  It translates so well to the screen while still staying true to the source material, which is no small task.

Wayner:

What Will Win: 12 years a slave

Comments: None needed.

Best foreign feature

“The Hunt” (Denmark)
“The Broken Circle Breakdown” (Belgium)
“The Great Beauty” (Italy)
“Omar” (Palestinian territories)
“The Missing Picture” (Cambodia)

What Will Win: The Hunt

Best animated feature

“The Wind Rises”
“Frozen”
“Despicable Me 2”
“Ernest & Celestine”
“The Croods”

What Will Win: Frozen

Best Original Song

“Frozen”: “Let it Go” — Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez
“Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”: “Ordinary Love” — U2, Paul Hewson
“Her”: “The Moon Song” — Karen O, Spike Jonze
“Despicable Me 2”: “Happy” — Pharrell Williams
“Alone Yet Not Alone”: “Alone Yet Not Alone” — Bruce Broughton, Dennis Spiegel

What Will Win: Ordinary Love

Best Original Score

“Gravity” — Steven Price
“Philomena” — Alexandre Desplat
“The Book Thief” — John Williams
“Saving Mr. Banks” — Thomas Newman
“Her” — William Butler and Owen Pallett

What Will Win: The Book Thief

Best costume design

“The Great Gatsby” — Catherine Martin
“12 Years a Slave” — Patricia Norris
“The Grandmaster” — William Chang Suk Ping
“American Hustle” — Michael Wilkinson
“The Invisible Woman” — Michael O’Connor

What Will Win: 12 Years A Slave

Best documentary feature

“The Act of Killing”
“20 Feet From Stardom”
“The Square”
“Cutie and the Boxer”
“Dirty Wars”

What Will Win: The Act of Killing

Best film editing

“Gravity” — Alfonso Cuaron, Mark Sanger
“12 Years a Slave”– Joe Walker
“Captain Phillips” — Christopher Rouse
“American Hustle” — Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers and Alan Baumgarten
“Dallas Buyers Club” — John Mac McMurphy and Martin Pensa

What Will Win: Gravity

Best makeup and hairstyling

“The Lone Ranger” — Joel Harlow and Gloria Pasqua-Casny
“Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa” — Stephen Prouty
“Dallas Buyers Club” — Adruitha Lee and Robin Mathews

What Will Win: Dallas Buyers Club

Best production design

“12 Years a Slave” — Adam Stockhausen and Alice Baker
“The Great Gatsby” — Catherine Martin and Beverley Dunn
“American Hustle” — Judy Becker and Heather Loeffler
“Gravity” — Andy Nicholson, Rosie Goodwin and Joanne Woollard
“Her” — K.K. Barrett and Gene Serdena

What Will Win: 12 Years A Slave

Best visual effects

“Gravity”
“The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug”
“Star Trek Into Darkness”
“Iron Man 3”
“The Lone Ranger”

What Will Win: Gravity

(NOTE – come back later to see our predictions for some of the lesser known categories, and please let us know your thoughts!)

 

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